A new report from the New York Times has come out, and it’s not looking good for President Joe Biden. According to the report, Biden’s support among non-white voters is eroding faster than a sandcastle at high tide. In fact, a compilation of national polls from 2022 and 2023 shows that Biden’s lead over former President Donald Trump among registered non-white voters is now only 53% to 28%. Ouch!
This is a significant decline from 2020 when Biden secured over 70% of the non-white vote. It seems like Biden is losing his grip on a demographic that has traditionally been the bedrock of the Democratic party. If he can’t turn things around by November 2024, it could spell trouble for the Democrats’ chances in the upcoming elections.
But it’s not all doom and gloom for Biden. The New York Times report suggests that he might have a chance to win back some of the voters who previously supported him. However, the Democratic party can’t afford to be complacent. Over the past decade, they have seen a consistent decline in support from non-white voters, even amidst racially charged debates. It’s clear that they need to step up their game if they want to maintain their hold on this crucial demographic.
There are several factors contributing to Biden’s declining support among non-white voters. His age, the rising inflation rates, and other socio-economic challenges are hitting non-white voters particularly hard. They tend to be younger and less affluent than their white counterparts, which makes them more vulnerable to these issues. And it’s not just the economy that’s causing problems for Biden. Issues like abortion and threats to democracy might not resonate as strongly with Black and Hispanic voters, who tend to be more conservative than white Biden supporters.
The data also reveals an education gap among non-white voters, with Biden having a bigger lead among those with a college degree compared to those without. This suggests that the political realignment triggered by Trump’s conservative populism is starting to influence the political affiliations of working-class voters from all racial backgrounds.
It’s not just non-white voters that Biden is losing ground with. Black voters are still in his corner, but with a significantly smaller margin than in 2020. The same goes for Hispanic voters. And the generational divide among Black voters is particularly concerning. While older Black voters overwhelmingly support Biden, younger ones are not as enthusiastic.
All in all, these diminishing margins among non-white voters should be a wake-up call for the Democratic party. If they don’t course correct soon, they could see their weakest performance among Black and Hispanic voters in decades. The 2024 elections are shaping up to be a real nail-biter for Biden and his party.