It seems there’s a growing wave of anxiety sweeping through the halls of the Democratic party, as they brace for what could be a seismic shift on the political map. Some are describing it as a runaway train picking up speed, headed straight for the 2030 apportionment forecast, and it might just spell trouble for the Democrats. It’s a tense time, as the party faces a potentially significant shift in the Electoral College landscape, especially after experiencing a tough loss in seven swing states during the 2024 election. But it could get even more challenging with what’s on the horizon.
What are people so worked up about? Well, if a new census is conducted in a way that excludes counting illegal immigrants, it could profoundly impact the way congressional seats are distributed. Red states, particularly those that embraced business-friendly and family-supportive policies during the pandemic, might be seeing a population boom. States like Texas, Florida, and other strongholds of conservative policies are expected to attract more people, while blue states, sometimes criticized for their more progressive experiments, may see folks heading for the exits.
Adding to the mix, there’s talk of Trump ordering a new census that would specifically not count illegal immigrants. The argument here is that counting them gives undue advantage to the Democrats and skews the Electoral College. So, the notion is that stripping those numbers away could reveal a political landscape that’s far from being evenly split, despite what some might want everyone to believe. The idea is not to fool ourselves into thinking this country is evenly divided when, in reality, some argue it leans more conservative.
Meanwhile, there’s chatter about the Supreme Court putting an end to some Voter Rights Act rules, with significant implications for gerrymandering. With conservative players now stepping up their game and refusing to sit back, it’s a new era of assertive politics. The GOP seems ready to take back control, get in the driver’s seat, and steer this political train with purpose. The coming years promise not just an ordinary political scuffle but an all-out battle for dominance, playing to win and changing the rules of the game.