Staff Reports
The political world was abuzz with excitement when the New York Times and Siena College released a series of polls showing former President Donald Trump in the lead over President Joe Biden in key swing states. This poll confirmed what many others have been showing — Trump has a real chance of beating Biden in the next election. Leading Democrats were thrown into a panic, with some suggesting Biden should reconsider his reelection campaign. The situation was described as a “five-alarm fire” for the Democratic Party. As a conservative Republican news writer, it is clear that Trump’s popularity is still strong and that Biden is struggling to maintain support within his own party.
Biden on the brink: Democrats start to panic about whether the president is a surefire 2024 winner https://t.co/M3JPNlkbny
— Trump2024_no_matter_what (@TexasTrump2024) November 10, 2023
Biden was once seen as the best candidate to defeat Trump in 2020, but now his viability as a candidate is being questioned. Polls consistently show Trump with a lead over Biden, which is quite extraordinary considering Trump was often trailing in polls during his 2019-20 campaign. Trump’s strong performance against Clinton in 2016 and his consistent lead over Biden this year suggest that he could perform better in the state contests that really matter for winning the Electoral College.
It is worth noting that Biden’s low approval ratings are not just among swing voters, but also within his own party. Many Democrats are expressing doubt about his reelection, which was not the case for Obama during his time in office. Biden’s approval ratings are particularly low on issues such as the economy, foreign policy, inflation, and crime. Voters also do not view him favorably as a person, with many doubting his honesty, trustworthiness, and ability to unite the country. These poor ratings reflect the dissatisfaction many Americans feel under Biden’s leadership.
Despite some positive economic indicators, such as a low unemployment rate and a recent increase in economic growth, many Americans are feeling frustrated. The average voter’s real disposable income per capita has been declining, which has not been seen since the 2008-09 financial crisis. Additionally, the state of the country is not improving under Biden’s watch, with issues such as the southern border crisis, rampant crime in cities, and a growing divide between political parties. Biden promised to save the soul of the nation, but it seems like things are only getting worse.
Looking ahead to the 2024 election, there is still a lot of uncertainty. Many voters are desperate for a change and do not want either Biden or Trump to run again. Even Trump’s lead in the Republican primary polls is not as impressive when considering him as a de facto incumbent. And in key states such as Iowa and New Hampshire, where Republican voters are actively engaged, Trump’s support is below 50%. This could open the door for a third-party candidate or a serious challenge to the two main parties. However, the political market is not free, with Republicans and Democrats controlling ballot access.
Overall, the 2024 election is shaping up to be a close call. While Democrats were once confident in Biden’s ability to defeat Trump, the tables have turned. Trump’s popularity and Biden’s weaknesses make it difficult to predict the outcome. Voters are deeply unhappy and looking to take out their frustration on one side or the other. In these circumstances, it is usually safer not to be the incumbent. As a conservative Republican news writer, it is clear that Trump has a real chance of winning in 2024 and that Biden’s current standing is not favorable.
