A recent poll conducted by veteran Iowa pollster Ann Selzer has thrown the political landscape into chaos, raising eyebrows and questions about how she’s spending her time at the polling booth. Known for her reliable tracks in the past, Selzer’s latest findings reveal a scenario where Kamala Harris, yes that Kamala Harris, is allegedly leading Donald Trump by three points in a state that has historically favored the former president. If true, this would mean Iowa shifted left 11 points in just one election cycle. One has to wonder if Iowans, who gave Trump an eight-point victory last time, suddenly decided to swap their corn cobs for a taste of leftist policies.
Analyst Ryan Girdusky took a stab at examining Selzer’s cross tabs, and his verdict can be summed up in two words: “straight crazy.” This speculation came after the poll indicated that senior voters, who once sided with Trump by a hefty margin in 2020, suddenly found themselves warming up to Harris, giving her a 19-point lead. What’s even more amusing is that this group previously gave Trump a nine-point advantage just three years ago. Apparently, those bingo games must come with a side of Kamala’s charm.
Dumbass Political pollster Ann Selzer appeared confused over what the “R” and “D” letter referred to in polling cross tabs during an interview with Mark Halperin.@jaselzer you'd be better taking polls at Cracker Barrel asking what is the most popular fish. pic.twitter.com/TFIpkTzSqm
— Colonel Otis (@canfixstoopid) November 4, 2024
The entertainment factor took a further leap when Selzer jumped on a podcast with veteran political reporter Mark Halperin. When asked about the cross tabs, which might as well have been written in hieroglyphics for all the sense they made, Selzer appeared utterly baffled. It seems she couldn’t differentiate between “D” and “R”—which, in a shocking twist, represent Democrats and Republicans. If this isn’t a sign that polling has hit a new low, what is?
This has led to a scenario that can only be described as music to the ears of skeptics everywhere. Halperin laid out the inconsistencies, noting how Selzer’s poll showed a 3% higher representation of Democrats than Republicans, while just a few short years back, the electorate was marked by an 8% Republican majority. With such astounding shifts in sentiment, it sounds more like a fever dream than solid polling data.
The pollster did admit that senior women showed a significant advantage for Harris, even claiming she won their support by more than two to one. Perhaps Harris has become the late-night talk show secret they’ve all been waiting for, and that glow from her “victory” might be more reflective of Selzer’s own dance with reality. It remains to be seen whether this poll will be remembered as a mere glitch or the start of a new trend, but one thing is certain: Iowans might just want to keep their ballots close to their vest until the circus leaves town.