Staff Reports
In the latest poll numbers published on Friday, former President Donald Trump is ahead of incumbent President Joe Biden by double digits. According to the survey, when likely voters were asked to choose between Trump, Biden, and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 46 percent supported Trump, 36 percent supported Biden, and 9 percent supported Kennedy. The poll also showed that an additional 4 percent of respondents said they would vote for someone else, while 5 percent were undecided.
However, it’s important to note that this poll was conducted by Rasmussen, which has a history of favoring Republican candidates. Rasmussen’s final 2020 polling showed Biden winning by 1 point, not the 4.5-point margin by which he ultimately won the election. Additionally, Rasmussen’s methodology is not fully explained, making it difficult to evaluate the accuracy of its polling.
Another Top Poll Shows Trump Pulling Ahead of Biden, This Time by a Whopping 10 Points pic.twitter.com/BQj9NSBfNL
— The Liberty Loft (@thelibertyloft) May 6, 2024
It’s also worth remembering that there are still six months until the election, and a lot can happen in that time to sway these numbers. Furthermore, the poll is an outlier, as the RealClearPolling average of polls over the past month gives Trump a 2.9-point edge over Biden.
In addition, the presidential election is won state-by-state, not by the national popular vote. While Trump does have a slight edge in the Electoral College votes, the race is still very close.
Overall, while the poll results show Trump with a lead, it’s important to consider the potential impact of future events and the overall closeness of the race. It’s still too early to predict the outcome of the election, and a lot can change before November.
