A recent Quinnipiac University poll has revealed that Vice President Kamala Harris is experiencing a significant thaw in support in key battleground states like Michigan and Wisconsin, where former President Donald Trump is seeing an uptick in approval. In Michigan, Trump is leading with 51% compared to Harris’s 47%, a dramatic shift from mid-September when Harris enjoyed a 50% to 45% lead. Wisconsin tells a similar story, with Trump edging out Harris 49% to 47%, again highlighting a notable alteration in voter sentiment. Clearly, the so-called “Harris post-debate glow” is dimming faster than a streetlight at midnight.
Pennsylvania still shows Harris holding a slim advantage, leading Trump 49% to 47%. However, this is a mere three-point improvement for Trump compared to previous polls, which suggests that voters are beginning to reevaluate their choices as issues pile up, like dirty laundry in a teenager’s room. It’s almost as if the voters have suddenly gotten wise to the notion that Harris and Biden aren’t the dynamic duos they once cracked up to be.
#New Winning chances via @Polymarket
🔴 Trump 55% (+10)
🔵 Harris 45%🗓️ 26 days to the election! https://t.co/Qkqo9mdU3N pic.twitter.com/ptgfnTvqWD
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 10, 2024
Tim Malloy, a polling analyst at Quinnipiac, noted that Harris’s brief moment of stardom has faded as she heads into the final stretch of campaigning. One can almost picture the once-blazing comet now sputtering out, leaving her supporters wondering where that brilliance went. The bad news for Democrats is that as the election approaches, rural voters and the working class seem to be leaning decidedly toward their former champion, Trump.
The numbers also reveal a growing dissatisfaction with the Biden administration’s handling of global issues, particularly in the Middle East. Trump is leading Harris on this front, too, capturing 53% of the vote against her 43% in Michigan and a solid 51% to 44% advantage in Wisconsin. Many in Michigan are expressing disapproval of how Harris and Biden have addressed the conflict between Israel and Hamas, which is either an alarming notice for Democrats or a clear message that the voters are fed up with the current regime’s foreign policy fumbling.
Historical context only adds to the intrigue, as Trump previously won Michigan in 2016 by a razor-thin margin and faced a heart-wrenching loss in 2020 by even less. Current polling averages show him leading in Michigan and closing in on Harris in Wisconsin, making for a nail-biting election season that has Democrats sweating bullets. The shift in support, especially among voters feeling the brunt of international chaos, seems to suggest that Americans are waking up to the fact that “leadership” has not translated into positive outcomes.