Staff Reports
In a stunning turn of events that probably has liberals shaking in their Birkenstocks, polling from five battleground states suggests that former President Donald Trump has held onto his edge over President Joe Biden. This includes Georgia, where the two titans are poised for what might be their only rumble before November. Looks like Sleepy Joe might need more than a nap to catch up.
Polling conducted by P2 Insights for the conservative nonprofit Building America’s Future shows Trump extending his lead in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Wisconsin since May. And, yes, this includes the period after his New York hush money conviction. Credit where it’s due: facing relentless media attacks and a conviction, Trump still eats Biden’s lunch in the numbers game.
NEW: Our pre-debate poll shows Trump expanding his lead in four battleground states from May to June as Biden’s struggles with his base continue.
Read the details in @dcexaminer:https://t.co/YcRO8AIC7b
— Building America's Future (@bldgUSAfuture) June 27, 2024
Surveys of 650 likely voters in each state reveal Trump was widening the gap. In Arizona, Trump’s support jumped from 41% in May to 47% in June, while Biden fell to 36%. Georgia told a similar tale, with Trump climbing to 45% and Biden stuck at 35%—maybe peaches aren’t the only thing falling in this state. Even Nevada, the state of all things unpredictable, saw Trump holding strong at 40%, while Biden lagged at 37%. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was thrown in as a wildcard to sprinkle some extra salt, but no dice. The real game is between Trump and Biden; right now, Trump is on a roll.
As it turns out, Biden’s comeback strategy might include convincing voters that age is just a number—unlike his polling figures. Nearly three-fifths of battleground voters think Biden is “too old” for another term. In Arizona, 63% of likely voters agreed he’s past his prime. Georgia isn’t too far behind, with 60% echoing the sentiment. It’s a close call, but the optics aren’t favoring Biden. His coalition from 2020 is leaking support faster than a sieve, especially in states like Arizona and Nevada, where previous Biden voters are now leaning toward Trump.
Tyson from P2 Insights hit the nail on the head when he noted that Trump’s ace in the hole is his perceived ability to handle the economy better than Biden. Even folks who aren’t exactly throwing MAGA hats around grudgingly admit Trump’s economic prowess outshines Biden’s. This isn’t just a red-meat rallying cry; it’s hard numbers saying the same.
As we head into the debate, Biden’s team might need more than a strong cup of coffee to turn the tide. He needs a miracle of Reagan-esque proportions to fix his campaign in one night. But with how things look, there could be too many holes to patch up in this leaky boat. Meanwhile, Trump stays ahead in the polls, flexing his political muscles and proving that he’s far from out of the game.
