Staff Reports
Tony Fabrizio, the mastermind behind Trump’s polling prowess, isn’t just looking at the usual swing states. He’s calling out Minnesota, Virginia, New Jersey, and New Mexico as battlegrounds that could flip red. And hold your horses – Fabrizio is even suggesting that Maine might be in play. When he shared this assessment with the Florida GOP at the Republican National Convention, it was clear he had his eyes on the prize.
Sure, these states haven’t voted Republican since 2004. But times, they are a-changin’. Virginia and New Mexico flirted with the GOP before, flipping back to blue in 2008. And while the Cook Political Report might not have them marked as toss-ups just yet, Fabrizio’s confident that 2024 could rewrite the script. Even New Jersey isn’t off-limits, as far as he’s concerned.
I think this guy is delusional but whatever helps them sleep at night. #USDemocracy#DemVoice1
Trump chief pollster says traditionally Democratic states such as New Jersey and New Mexico are ‘toss-ups’ #DonaldTrump #NewJersey #JoeBidenhttps://t.co/lloNmCpn6s— Scott Smith, MSW #BLM 🇺🇦🇺🇦🏳️🌈🌈🟦🟧 (@Canaansdad1987) July 17, 2024
So what’s driving this optimism? Fabrizio is betting on the chaos factor of third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who could snag votes from Democrats. Here’s the thing – the more fragmented the Democratic base, the better it is for Trump. And let’s face it: the left is eating its own tail right now with infighting and lack of unity.
Fabrizio didn’t just stop at the broader strategy. He outlined why Trump’s message is resonating – voter enthusiasm is through the roof. Unlike Biden, who he described as weak, failed, and dishonest, Trump has a die-hard base ready to turn up at the polls. Despite limited TV ad spending so far, Trump’s camp is gearing up for a media blitz. According to Fabrizio, the gloves are coming off – so get ready for the fireworks.
And let’s sprinkle some polling magic into the mix. Trump is leading in almost every state Fabrizio mentioned, except New Mexico, where he’s nipping at Biden’s heels within a point. Thanks to Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s shenanigans, multicandidate polling is tilting in Trump’s favor. Nationally, Trump is leading Biden 47.1% to 44.4%, according to RealClearPolitics. So buckle up, it’s going to be a wild ride to November 2024.
