Staff Reports
Former White House counselor Kellyanne Conway expressed excitement over the most recent polling data, clearly indicating a surge in former President Donald Trump's popularity among potential Republican primary contenders and even in a hypothetical general election rematch against President Joe Biden. The latest Bloomberg News-Morning Consult poll, conducted for the third consecutive month, reveals Trump leading with 47%, surpassing Biden's 42% in swing states. This development is highly favorable for Trump, showcasing a strengthening of his support base.
Beyond Trump's lead over Biden, the poll signals a decline in support for Biden among crucial demographics, including black voters and young voters. Evidently, dissatisfaction among Democratic voters is leading to a noticeable decrease in Biden's overall support. While this may be unwelcome news for the Biden camp, it resonates positively with Trump and his supporters.
This is good news in a world of early polling.
Conway says Trump has voter ‘base-plus’ as lead in polls grows: ‘Biden doesn’t have his base’ | Washington Examiner https://t.co/OhPfOfGEUX
— psychforensic 🇺🇸 (@psychforensic) December 15, 2023
Conway promptly highlighted that Trump's lead goes beyond his loyal base, characterizing it as a "base-plus" scenario. This implies that Trump is garnering support from a more diverse range of voters, including individuals of color, those without a college education, and young people. Compounding Biden's challenges, more independents are leaning toward Trump, underscoring the expansion of Trump's appeal while Biden grapples to maintain his support base.
The polling data also explored the potential impact on Trump's support if he were to be convicted in any of the current indictments against him. A Reuters-Ipsos poll suggested a significant loss of support for Trump in the event of a conviction, while a Wall Street Journal poll depicted a Trump vs. Biden matchup as a toss-up under such circumstances. Additionally, the Wall Street Journal poll unveiled that voters are more inclined to support Trump if Biden faces impeachment.
Conway seized the opportunity to underscore Biden's consistently low polling numbers, noting a range between 41 and 43. Regardless of unfolding events, Biden appears to struggle in gaining momentum, posing challenges for his future prospects. In summary, the latest polling data constitutes a major victory for Trump and a notable setback for Biden and the Democrats.
