Staff Reports
Concern has arisen within the White House due to the precipitous decrease in support that President Joe Biden is encountering in advance of the 2024 presidential election. According to recent surveys carried out by Siena College and The New York Times, Biden is falling behind the leading Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, in a number of crucial swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Biden did, nevertheless, secure a victory in Wisconsin, a state he carried over into the 2020 presidential election.
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As per Axios, the diminishing support that Biden is receiving from black and Hispanic voters presents a substantial obstacle to his chances of re-election. In addition, the Times survey reveals a substantial decline in the support of Biden among nonwhite voters, which has decreased by 33 points since 2020. On the contrary, Trump's garner of support from black voters, who have historically been Democratic Party loyalists, surged to an unprecedented 22 percent, an unprecedented accomplishment for a Republican candidate.
For Biden's campaign, the decline in Hispanic voter support is especially alarming. Throughout history, Democrats have held a 30-point advantage over their opponents in the Hispanic voter demographic. Nevertheless, Biden's margin in each of the crucial swing states has shrunk to single digits. Concerns such as the opposition to fossil fuels, which primarily affects Hispanic voters, and the exorbitant expenses that render automobiles and residences untenable for a significant number of black voters, are identified as key determinants that shape the choices of these voters.
Notwithstanding the inherent imprecision of pre-election polls, Democrats remain perplexed by their failure to influence voters, notwithstanding the enactment of costly legislation. The findings of the Times survey reflect the prevailing discontent among voters, as a significant majority expressed personal harm inflicted by Biden's policies. In swing states, where diversity is more pronounced, the multiracial and multigenerational coalition that helped elect Biden in 2020 is exhibiting signs of duress.
According to The Times, electors place a premium on the competence of their leaders. In response to the question of whether each candidate had aided or hindered respondents, Trump secured a 17-point edge in favor of assisting them, whereas Biden encountered an 18-point deficit in relation to the perception of harming them. Spencer Weiss, a 2020 Biden supporter from Pennsylvania, lamented that "the world is collapsing under Biden" while extolling the leadership qualities of Trump in contrast.
Additional surveys, including recent ones conducted by ABC News/Ipsos and CBS/YouGov, corroborate these patterns by indicating a diminishing level of backing for Biden among black and Hispanic voters. The trajectory of the nation is an additional matter of concern, as indicated by the 23 percent of respondents in the ABC News/Ipsos poll who hold the view that the country is progressing in the correct way. Furthermore, according to the CBS/YouGov survey, 45% of Hispanic voters were concerned that a re-election of Biden would negatively impact their lives.
With the approaching 2024 presidential election, President Biden and his campaign are confronted with the formidable challenge of reestablishing ground that has been lost and re-engaging with crucial voter demographics.
