In a recent poll conducted by The New York Times and Sierra College, it was revealed that Former President Trump is leading President Joe Biden in five out of six crucial swing states by significant margins. The swing states of Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan all expressed a preference for Trump over Biden in the 2024 election at a margin of three to 10 points. The only exception was Wisconsin, where Biden holds a slight lead over Trump.
The poll also highlighted the fact that voters overwhelmingly view the country as moving in the wrong direction, which has caused Biden’s “multiracial and multigenerational coalition” to show signs of falling apart. Another poll conducted by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult showed Trump ahead in an average of several swing states, leading Biden 47 percent to 43 percent in Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
— Millennial Conservative ™️ (@Milennial_con) November 5, 2023
Although Trump won several swing states, including Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania in the 2016 election, Biden managed to win all six crucial swing states in the 2020 election. However, this recent poll suggests that traditional groups who have supported Biden and the Democrats are now showing softer support. Biden’s lead among Hispanics has decreased to single digits, and his lead among voters under 30 years old is down to just a mere percentage point.
The poll also reveals that Trump has gained significant support from African Americans, garnering 22 percent, compared to the mere 8 percent he received in 2020. If these poll results hold true for the next election, Trump could be on track to win 300 electoral college votes, well above the 270 needed to secure victory. Voters seem to view Biden as “too old” and have concerns about his mental activity and policies, while Trump’s policies are perceived as more helpful.
It is important to note that the poll was conducted from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3 and included 3,662 registered voters in the six swing states. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 1.8 points. These poll results suggest that Trump is regaining popularity in crucial swing states, posing a potential threat to Biden’s chances of re-election in 2024.