In a twist that could rival any dramatic soap opera, Vice President Kamala Harris is failing to keep pace with President Biden in the pivotal battleground of New York. Recent analytics from Semafor reveal that Harris’s numbers in the Empire State are not just slightly disappointing—they’re scraping the bottom of the barrel when compared to Biden’s 2020 performance. This signals trouble for the Democrats, who are desperately hoping to regain control of the U.S. House of Representatives come Election Day.
Polling data indicates that while Kamala Harris might manage to squeak by Donald Trump in the liberal haven of New York, her underwhelming performance could have a ripple effect on House races in swing districts across the state. A Siena College poll shines a spotlight on Harris’s struggles, showing she has failed to live up to Biden’s impressive 22-point victory margin from the last election. The Democrats, already on edge, are likely sweating over the possibility that these lackluster numbers might just derail their plans to reclaim a governing majority.
🚨🚨 Kamala Harris is underperforming Joe Biden in 2020 in every district in NY, NY Republicans are working to win in 2024! pic.twitter.com/ZrWoYoDrrh
— Elise Stefanik (@EliseStefanik) October 8, 2024
In a fitting twist of fate, Republican Congresswoman Elise Stefanik took to social media to celebrate this setback for the Vice President. Meanwhile, the Democratic chair in Queens, Greg Meeks, remains optimistic, asserting that Harris still holds strength in certain districts. However, such optimism might be more about wishful thinking than reality. The growing trend among voters is leaning toward issues like crime and inflation—topics that tend to favor the GOP, particularly after surprising victories in suburban and rural New York districts after the 2022 midterm elections.
But it’s not just New York; the drama continues in Michigan, where a significant faction of Arab-American voters appears to be turning their backs on Harris. The Biden administration’s firm support for Israel amid the Gaza conflict has left many in this voting bloc feeling disenchanted. Reports suggest that support for the Democratic ticket among Arab Americans in the Detroit area has drastically dwindled, with some neighborhoods experiencing near-total alienation from the party. The sudden fallout from this once-loyal voter base could have major implications in November, particularly since Biden won Michigan in 2020 largely thanks to their support.
Amidst this chaos, one truth is clear: the Democratic Party is facing a perfect storm of dissatisfaction from their own base, and Kamala Harris’s inability to resonate with key voter demographics is yet another thorn in their side. As the election looms, the GOP is likely licking their chops at the thought of capitalizing on these cracks in the blue wall. Whether Harris can rally support and turn the tide remains to be seen, but if current trends continue, Republicans may just find themselves with a little more opportunity than they bargained for.