Staff Reports
Nate Silver, a known left-leaning political modeler, has delivered a devastating blow to Presidentish Joe Biden in his latest election forecast, and the news is about as welcome as a skunk at a garden party for the Democrats.
Just last week, PJ Media’s own Matt Margolis shared Silver’s initial assessment, which painted a grim picture for Biden, giving Trump a solid advantage in both the Electoral College and the popular vote. Fast forward to this week, and Silver’s updated projection has Biden’s chances plummeting faster than a lead balloon at a helium convention.
According to Silver’s latest analysis, Biden now faces a measly 27.6% chance of clinching the Electoral College and a mere 44.2% shot at winning the popular vote. These numbers have taken a nosedive in days, leaving the Biden camp scrambling like a squirrel in a hailstorm.
7/1 model update.
Debate beginning to take a real bite out of Biden. pic.twitter.com/lSESmUd4JZ
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 1, 2024
Silver himself isn’t painting a pretty picture for Biden either, suggesting things will only worsen from here. With Biden’s lackluster performance in the recent debate raising eyebrows and concerns, the idea of him leading the country well into his 80s seems more like a Saturday Night Live skit than a plausible reality.
Looking back at Trump’s unexpected victory in 2016, where he snagged key Rust Belt states despite losing the popular vote, it’s clear that Silver’s simulations are giving Biden supporters a serious heartburn. If these projections hold any weight, Biden’s popularity is teetering on the edge of a cliff, with only a strong gust needed to push it over.
Even Silver, who is no fan of Trump, has hinted at the Democrats making a switch to Biden’s VP Kamala Harris as a more honest choice for the party. With concerns rising about Biden’s health and mental acuity, the Democrats are caught between a rock and a hard place, facing the harsh reality that their chosen candidate might not be up to the task.
As the White House attempts to divert attention with a scripted Biden appearance, the cracks in the facade are becoming harder to ignore. A four-minute teleprompter speech won’t erase the doubts surrounding Biden’s candidacy, no matter how much spray tan they slather on.
While polls can sway and projections can waver, the overarching narrative seems to solidify against Biden and the Democrats. It’s a bumpy ride ahead for the left, and Nate Silver’s crystal ball isn’t showing them any mercy.
