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Republicans Claim 95% Border Drop and 2M Removals Ahead of Midterms

Republican House members are leaning into immigration enforcement as early voting rolls out, and they made that case loud and clear on the Republican Study Committee’s newest podcast. U.S. Reps. Josh Brecheen and David Rouzer used the episode — shared with The Center Square — to argue that the Trump administration has restored border security and tough enforcement after years of chaos. It’s a message aimed right at voters during the midterm stretch.

RSC podcast: Republicans tout enforcement wins

On the RSC episode, Rep. Josh Brecheen blasted what he called “reckless open border policies” under the Biden-Harris years and credited the second Trump administration with reversing course. The podcast repeated administration talking points: a claimed 95% reduction in illegal southwest-border crossings and more than 2 million migrants removed, returned, or self‑removed since the stronger enforcement began. “Their catch and release policies put lives at risk,” Brecheen said on the episode, a line publicized by The Center Square.

What the numbers really mean

Those are headline-grabbing figures, and there’s meat behind them — but also nuance. GAO reviews and CBP encounter tables show encounters fell sharply in FY2025 compared with the FY2021–FY2024 period, and administration briefings used that drop to frame the “94–95%” talking point. At the same time, “removals” is a mixed bag: DHS, ICE and CBP count formal deportations, CBP returns/expulsions, and voluntary self‑departures differently. Independent analysts warn you can’t lump every category together without noting the differences. So yes, enforcement went up and encounters went down — but the precise percentage and the “more than 2 million” removal total depend on which boxes you check.

Trucking licenses, DOT action, and safety claims

The podcast and GOP messaging also leaned on the trucking‑CDL story. Industry reporting compiled by Overdrive found roughly 60,000 non‑domiciled commercial driver’s licenses in 2025 — a dataset that forced DOT and FMCSA to act and that the White House cites when it talks about safety. The administration says DOT action led to tens of thousands of canceled or revoked CDLs; President Donald Trump and Secretary of Transportation Sean Duffy have pointed to thousands of state revocations as proof that the policy fixed a safety gap. Courts and several states are still sorting out implementation, so the numbers are still being tallied and litigated. But the broader pitch is plain: tighter rules, fewer questionable licenses, safer highways.

Timing, politics, and the choice voters face

This podcast drop isn’t an academic exercise. Republicans are pushing these enforcement stories now because early voting is under way and immigration is a potent wedge issue. The RSC episode packages tough-sounding stats and hardline language into a simple argument: border control means public safety. Democrats counter with legal and humanitarian critiques of some enforcement steps. Voters will weigh those tradeoffs at the ballot box. If you like sharper borders and stricter enforcement, the GOP message is clear — and loud. If you prefer different priorities, those debates are on the ballot too.

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