According to recent polling data compiled by Real Clear Polling, it shows that former President Donald Trump is leading current President Joe Biden by 1.2% in the national popular vote. In addition to this, a new survey done by The New York Times/Siena reveals that Trump is ahead in five out of six swing states, which could signal a promising future for the former president.
The survey indicates that Biden is trailing behind Trump in various swing states, with significant leads for Trump in states like Nevada and Georgia. This data suggests that Trump’s popularity has not waned since the 2020 election and that voters may be favoring his policies and leadership.
.@JoeNBC: The New York Times Siena poll has consistently slanted toward Donald Trump. The New York Times will release their poll, the political and media class will run around with their hair on fire, and then three days later polls will show a deadlocked race. Does anyone think… pic.twitter.com/LzYu2jUz9t
— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) May 13, 2024
It is interesting to note that even when an independent candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., was included in the survey, Trump still maintained a considerable lead in most of the swing states. This indicates a strong backing for Trump and a lack of enthusiasm for Biden among voters.
Critics have accused The New York Times and Siena of showing bias towards Trump, with MSNBC host Joe Scarborough questioning the accuracy of the polling results. However, pollster G. Elliot Morris disputed these claims, stating that the polls have been fairly accurate in the past.
Biden’s willingness to debate Trump despite his trailing numbers in the polls has been seen by some, like conservative podcaster Ben Shapiro, as a sign of desperation. This suggests that Biden may be feeling the pressure of a potential defeat in the upcoming election if the current trend continues.