Staff Reports
The writer shared his thoughts after the recent trial of Donald Trump. He mentioned some polls that were taken after the trial, but he cautioned that it’s still too early to make any firm conclusions about the impact of the trial on the race. He pointed out that national and state level polls have shown some mixed results so far, with some numbers staying about the same and others showing a slight shift. The writer suggested that post-debate polling later this month might give a better indication of where the race is heading.
He expressed concern for Biden supporters, noting that some recent polling data has not been favorable for the president. A national poll by Emerson showed Trump with a one-point lead over Biden, with both candidates tied when including leaning voters. The writer also mentioned state-level surveys by Fox News that showed Trump ahead in key swing states like Florida, Arizona, and Nevada.\
So Far, Post-Trump Conviction Polling Offers Some Worrying Early Tea Leaves…for Joe Biden https://t.co/kpjLZcKgLK
— Jane (@Jane08558954) June 7, 2024
However, the writer also pointed out that some of the movement in the polls has been within the margin of error, indicating that the changes may not be significant. He also mentioned that the approval ratings of governors in these states, most of whom are Republicans, are higher than Biden’s approval rating, suggesting potential challenges for the president in these states.
Finally, the writer discussed a new Quinnipiac poll showing Trump ahead in Georgia. He noted that this poll is in line with the RealClearPolitics average, but cautioned that Quinnipiac’s polls have been inaccurate in the past. Overall, the writer suggested that it’s still too early to draw firm conclusions about the impact of the trial on the race, but pointed to some polling data that might raise concerns for Biden supporters.
